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Winter Wheat Yield Predicted to Break Records
USAgNet - 06/27/2016

The USDA Economic Research Service predicts in a recent report that due to excellent growing conditions over much of the country, particularly in the Great Plains region, the winter wheat average yield is now projected to be a record high 50.5 bushels per acre, with total production projected at over 1.5 billion bushels.

Additionally, despite an 8-percent year-to-year decline in production area, this improved outlook for winter wheat will increase 2016-17 aggregate wheat production by 25 million bushels over the 2015-16 crop.

According to the report, declines in planted acres have been offset by higher yield gains as compared to last year's crop and a higher projected harvest-to-planted ratio. As of June 1, the winter wheat expected harvested area is 29.831 million acres, down 2.4 million acres from last year, but the projected harvest-to-planted ratio is 82.4 percent, slightly higher than 2015's 81.7 percent.

Despite some reports of bad weather and disease, the quality of the 2016-2017 winter wheat crop also remains high, with 62% of the winter wheat reported to be in good to excellent condition for the week ending June 5. In contrast, the spring wheat production for 2016 is projected to decline 16 percent based on lower planted area, relative to 2015.

As of June 5, 96 percent of the spring wheat crop had emerged in the major wheat-cultivating states, which is well above the 5-year average pace of 78 percent. As with winter wheat, reports have stated that 79 percent of the crop is rated good to excellent. Overall, the weather in winter and spring wheat growing regions has provided excellent conditions for the cultivation of wheat, pushing the entire wheat yield to almost 50 bushels per acre.


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